After almost 15 years of financial woes - over-extended with non-focused
acquisitions, asbestos law-suits, big settlements, etc - ABB has successfully
moved beyond the crisis years.
ABB just announced results for Q2 2007:
- Net income doubles to $729 million
- Continued strong global demand
- Orders up 26%, revenues up 27%
- 14.4% EBIT margin on EBIT of $1 billion
- Operating Cash flow $396 million
With operating profit of 13.6%
last year, and a war chest of more than $10B, the automation giant could be
preparing to make a major acquisition. They are reported to be considering two:
Legrand of France, 2006 revenue $3.74B; US-based Rockwell Automation, $5.56B
2006 revenues. Both are within reach.
After its previous debacle with fragmented acquisitions, ABB will now take a
very disciplined approach, focusing on strategic fit, integration costs and
opportunities, as well as price.
For years I have been predicting that Rockwell would be sold. Now, belatedly,
my predictions may come true. After he took over as CEO from ineffective Don
Davis, Keith Nosbusch has done well with Rockwell, raising the stock to heady
levels - 70-ish, with market-cap about $11B. But the company has nowhere to go.
My advice to Keith Nosbusch: Acquire something bigger than small-fry
ICS/Triplex, or be acquired. With about $1B cash-on-hand, you can do it. If you
can't, this may indeed be a good time to exit.
My advice to Fred Kindle of ABB: Rockwell is fair game - go for it!
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